Vene rünnak Poola vastu oli eelmäng sissetungile Soome ja Balti riikidesse, seisab sotsiaalmeedias avaldatud analüüsis, mida jagas Rootsi asjatundja Venemaa alal Anders Åslund.

Samas märkis Åslund, et erinevalt Poolast korraldaksid need neli riiki kohe vasturünnaku kaugmaarakettidega Peterburi ja Moskva peale.

Poola oli Åslundi väitel ette valmistamata ja otsustusvõimetu.

Åslund märkis, et kui Eestit niimoodi rünnatakse, ründab riik kohe vastu 2000 kilomeetri ulatuses ballistiliste rakettidega.

I don’t think so. Unlike Poland, all these four countries are prepared to attack Russia with long-distance missiles reaching St. Petersburg & Moscow on the first day of a war.
Poland was unprepared & indecisive.
So Russia will probably punish it with more attacks. https://t.co/uwM3IiHQob

— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) September 10, 2025

Poland reported 19 drones violating its airspace.
This is war. Doesn’t the Polish government understand that?
Estonia has clearly stated: If Russia attacks us, we shall hit back at 2000 km with ballistic missiles.
= Russia did not attack Estonia but Poland.
Think!

— Anders Åslund (@anders_aslund) September 10, 2025